Decrypt Labs · Beta Documentation
Cipher Predict Documentation
Everything you need to know about AI-powered Polymarket trading
This guide breaks down how the system detects signals, confirms entries, executes on Polymarket’s CLOB, manages configuration, and stays fully verifiable on Polygon.
Signal Source
BTC 5m
TradingView-driven directional bias
Execution Rail
CLOB
Market orders routed to Polymarket
Settlement
Polygon
Every fill lands on-chain and can be verified
Default Profile
Moderate
Balanced speed, runway, and price filters
How It Works
Deep dive: from signal to settlement
Cipher Predict is designed to avoid impulsive noise trading. The system waits for structured conditions, confirms signal quality, then executes into liquid prediction markets with fully on-chain settlement.
01 Signal Detection
TradingView watches BTC 5-minute structure
The engine listens for directional output from a proprietary TradingView indicator focused on short-term BTC price action. The goal is not random guessing — it is detecting momentum shifts and bias changes inside a tight intraday window.
- Built around BTC 5-minute price behavior
- Designed for binary UP / DOWN market selection
- Optimized for fast-turn prediction windows
02 Signal Confirmation
Buffering filters noise before entry
Raw alerts are not blindly traded. Signals are buffered and checked through multiple confirmation layers before any order is sent. This is how the system avoids reacting to weak, short-lived flips that often reverse immediately.
- Buffer time delays entry after the initial signal
- Runway logic prevents entering too late in the window
- Price filters avoid trading near extreme odds
03 Execution
Orders hit Polymarket’s CLOB within seconds
Once the setup is valid, market orders are placed on Polymarket’s central limit order book. The focus is speed and consistency: get into the market while the statistical edge is still actionable.
- Execution happens in seconds, not minutes
- Bet sizing is controlled through config
- Rate limiting caps trade frequency to prevent overtrading
04 Settlement
Every trade is fully on-chain and verifiable
All positions settle on Polygon. That means the trade lifecycle is visible beyond the UI: fills, balances, and resulting positions can be verified independently rather than trusted as an opaque black box.
- Polygon settlement keeps records transparent
- Positions can be checked on-chain at any time
- Polymarket’s transparent order book adds market-level visibility
Configuration Guide
Tune the system without changing the core engine
These parameters control how patient, selective, and aggressive the strategy behaves. Start with the default profile unless you have a specific reason to widen risk, compress entry timing, or trade closer to market extremes.
| Config |
Description |
Default |
| Buffer |
Seconds to wait after a signal before executing. This helps filter immediate whipsaw noise and weak first prints. |
5s |
| Runway |
Minimum seconds remaining in the prediction window required to enter. Prevents late entries when there is not enough time left for the thesis to play out. |
10s |
| Bet Size |
Number of shares per trade. This is the direct sizing lever that affects exposure per signal. |
5 |
| Max Trades/hr |
Hourly rate limit that stops the engine from overtrading during noisy conditions or streaky signal clusters. |
30 |
| Price Range |
Only trade when market pricing stays inside the allowed odds band. This avoids buying too close to certainty or panic-selling into extremes. |
20¢–80¢ |
| Invert |
Flips the signal direction. If the indicator says UP, the system trades DOWN instead. Useful for testing contrarian behavior. |
OFF |
Risk profiles are presets, not promises. They change how often the system trades, how late it is willing to enter, and how much capital gets deployed per signal.
Conservative
Slow down, filter harder
Designed for users who want fewer trades, more confirmation, and tighter market selection.
- Buffer10s
- Runway15s
- Bet3
- Max Trades/hr15/hr
- Price Range30¢–70¢
Moderate · Default
Balanced speed and selectivity
The standard profile for most users. Keeps entries timely without fully removing protection against weak setups.
- Buffer5s
- Runway10s
- Bet5
- Max Trades/hr30/hr
- Price Range20¢–80¢
Aggressive
More speed, more variance
Allows faster entries, larger size, and wider acceptable pricing. Best suited to users who understand the added churn and drawdown risk.
- Buffer3s
- Runway5s
- Bet10
- Max Trades/hr50/hr
- Price Range15¢–85¢
Fee Structure
Simple fee logic with a token-based unlock
Cipher Predict uses a holder-friendly model: users holding enough $CIPHER pay no platform fees, while standard users pay deposit and withdrawal fees that feed burn, operations, and account growth.
Holder Tier
$CIPHER holders (2M+ tokens)
0% fees forever
Hold at least 2,000,000 $CIPHER to unlock free access with no deposit fee and no withdrawal fee.
- Minimum hold2M $CIPHER
- Deposit fee0%
- Withdrawal fee0%
Get $CIPHER →
Standard Tier
Trade without holding the token
4% deposit + 4% withdrawal
Users who do not hold the token threshold can still use the system through the standard fee path.
- Deposit fee4%
- Withdrawal fee4%
- AccessSignals + execution
Buy $CIPHER to graduate into 0% fees →
Revenue Split
Where standard fee revenue goes
Standard fee revenue is recycled back into the ecosystem and operating stack instead of disappearing into a black box.
- Token burn65%
- Operations30%
- Account build-up5%
Token page: app.virtuals.io/virtuals/43504
On-Chain Verification
Trust the chain, not screenshots
The architecture is intentionally verifiable. Cipher Predict may automate decisioning and execution, but settlement happens in public infrastructure that can be independently checked.
Polygon
All trades settle on Polygon
Funds, fills, and resulting positions live on Polygon rather than in an internal spreadsheet or simulated ledger.
- Settlement layerPolygon
- VisibilityPublic blockchain
Positions
Every position is verifiable
You can inspect balances and resulting position state independently instead of relying solely on frontend reporting.
- Audit styleWallet + position review
- Confidence sourceIndependent verification
Market Rail
Polymarket CLOB is transparent
Orders route into Polymarket’s transparent order book, which provides another layer of market-level visibility around how trades get executed.
- Execution venuePolymarket CLOB
- Order bookTransparent
FAQ
Common questions before you flip the switch
If you are new to the product, start here. These are the questions most users ask before turning on automation or funding a wallet.
Is this financial advice?
No. Cipher Predict is a tool, not financial advice. You control your risk, your sizing, and whether you use the system at all.
What happens if the AI is wrong?
The system is still trading a probabilistic market, so losses happen. Every trade has defined risk, and the engine uses bankroll management constraints to help limit drawdown.
Can I lose money?
Yes. Trading involves risk. Only use funds you can afford to lose, especially while the product remains in beta.
How do I get $CIPHER tokens?
Is it really on-chain?
Yes. Every trade settles on Polygon, and positions can be verified independently at any time.
Risk Disclaimer
Cipher Predict is beta software provided for informational and operational use only. It is not financial advice, investment advice, tax advice, or a guarantee of future performance. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Trading prediction markets involves risk of loss, including the risk of losing your full trading balance. Only trade with funds you can afford to lose, verify wallet and fee settings before use, and understand that latency, liquidity, execution conditions, and market structure can affect outcomes.